Volume 2 - Number 7                                                                 July 1, 1999

Blackjack Pro®
Pursuing Excellence and Profit

By The Numbers

Gambling is all math. It is also entertainment, but it is the math that decides if you are going to be paying to be entertained or going to get paid for doing your homework. Since we already know Blackjack is the only game the odds can go our way, we should stick to that. Just how should we go about working out our advantage?

First stop, what are the conditions of the game we are going to play? I want to use an example of a game that comes to town every August/September. It is a 4 deck , no hole card, hit soft 17, split any pair, double any first two cards game. This amounts to an off the top disadvantage of -.66%. Not perfect, but half as bad as playing Baccarat would be.

Second stop, what count are we going to use? The total value of all the + cards is 2.05% for 1 of each 2 3 4 5 6 and 7 taken out. Since I use the Hi Opt II which gives the 2 3 6 7 a value of +1, and the 4 and 5 a value of +2, I divide the 2.05% by 8. This gives me a value of .25% for each positive count. Hi/Low counters would use 1.75% divided by 5 (the 2 3 4 5 6 cards) for an average value of .35% per plus count.

The above tells us that a True Count of +3 for Hi Opt II will wipe out the games -.66% and have a small .09% advantage. Hi/Low needs +2 TC to come up with a .04% advantage. Since Hi/Low doesn't count the 7 which has a value of .30% a full knowledge of our advantage is not always with us. This is the main reason I use the Hi Opt II.

The table minimum is $3 and the maximum is $25, a sweet 8:1 spread. The game is dealt down to 1 deck for a penetration of 75%. The shuffle is easily tracked as many of the dealers are very inexperienced. By watching the discard tray a good player can play this game as if it were two 2 deck games, often knowing how 10 and Ace rich the first 2 decks and last 2 decks are before being dealt!

For not so advanced Hi Opt II players, a Running Count of +12 during the first deck is needed, +9 during the second deck, and +6 during the third deck to jump their bets. Any player with $2,500 can easily bet $25 once the True Count is +3, but a conservative raising of the bets from $3 to $6 to $12 to $25 is a little more in order for this game. It is also possible to spread to 2 hands of $6, then $12 and $25 for a more advantageous 16:1 spread. Casino hours are 10AM to 6AM so there are many times an empty table can be had.

No hole card rules. Watch those dealer Ace's and 10's face up. The dealer will not know if they have Blackjack until everyone has hit, split, and doubled, and that means they take ALL the chips when they Blackjack you! Adjust your play to limit the dealer's advantage over you with these flash cards. No Hole Card Basic Strategy Hi Opt II Advanced Play Indices for this game are here Hi Opt II NHC Indices Additional Hi Opt II Advanced Play Indices for this game are hereMore Hi Opt II NHC Indices Many players fail to understand how No Hole Card rules work and lose far more than they should be. DON'T BE ONE OF THEM!

Online Consulting

Recently there has been a growing demand for quality information about specific game conditions and how players can beat them. Blackjack Pro is here to help you. Simple questions from time to time are always welcome. We also specialise in custom designing an entire Player's Program for the serious student ready to devote their time and money to becoming Pro or Semi-Pro. Ask about this service and what it can do for you! Click the Blackjack hand below if interested.
Rob McGarvey - Blackjack Pro

Train for Profit

Take the time to learn to play Blackjack professionally. Go beyond Basic Strategy one step at a time and become a Professional Card Counter. From simple counts to advanced systems, accompanied by sound money management skills, anyone can learn to make "Easy Money". Get in touch with Rob at blakjack@idirect.com.

Visit the Blackjack Pro® Website at http://webhome.idirect.com/~blakjack for the latest information on the game, not only in Southern Ontario, but all of North America.

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